tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-9431495904045035442024-03-16T18:52:42.468+00:00Circling the Lion's DenA glance at the conflict in AfghanistanNick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.comBlogger665125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-7329702742428452052013-10-10T11:08:00.001+01:002013-10-10T12:44:13.268+01:00Presidential runners and riders<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">Here is a complete list of registered
runners and riders for next year's elections for President, listed in the chronological order of their
registration: </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
1- Bismillah Sher<br />
First vice president, Abdul Karim Ahmadyar<br />
Second vice president, Sultan Hamid Sultani </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
2- Dr. Abdullah Abdullah<br />
First vice president, Mohammad Khan<br />
Second vice president, Mohammad Mohaqiq </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
3- Fazl Karim Najmi<br />
First vice president, Mohammad Sabir Takmeen<br />
Second vice president, Susan Hajati </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
4- Abdul Rabb Rasul Sayyaf<br />
First vice president, Mohammad Ismail Khan<br />
Second vice president, Abdul Wahab Urfan </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
5- Hashmat Ghani Ahmadzai<br />
First vice president, Abdullah Bromand<br />
Second vice president, Abed Nazar </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
6- Qutbuddin Hilal<br />
First vice president, Enayatullah Enayat<br />
Second vice president, Mohammad Ali Nabizada </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
7- Abdul Rahim Wardak<br />
First vice president, Shah Abdul Ahad Afzali<br />
Second vice president, Sayed Hussian Anwari </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
8- Del Agha Kohdamani<br />
First vice president, Zalmai Hamraz<br />
Second vice president, Toorpakai Azizi </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
9- Sayed Ishaq Gailani<br />
First vice president, Zakaria Noori<br />
Second vice president, Seema Ismati </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
10- Sarwar Ahmadzai<br />
First vice president, Abdul Rahman<br />
Second vice president, Kabir Quraishi </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
11- Ashraf Ghani Ahmadzai<br />
First vice president, Gen. Abdul Rashid Dostum<br />
Second vice president, Sarwar Danish </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
12- Dr. Zalmai Rasoul<br />
First vice president, Ahmad Zia Massoud<br />
Second vice president, Habiba Surabi </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
13- Sardar Muhammad Nadir Naeem<br />
First vice president, Taj Mohammad Akbar<br />
Second vice president, Azizullah Puya </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
14- Hamidullah Qaderi<br />
First vice president, Mohammad Arif Baraki<br />
Second vice president, Humaira Haqmal </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
15- Daoud Sultanzoy<br />
First vice president, Ahmad Saeedi<br />
Second vice president, Kazima Mohaqiq </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
16- Qayum Karzai<br />
First vice president, Wahidullah Shahrani<br />
Second vice president, Ibrahim Qasmi </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
17- Gul Agha Sherzai<br />
First vice president, Sayed Hussain Alimi Balkhi<br />
Second vice president, Mohammad Hashim Zarea </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
18- Azizullah Ludin<br />
First vice president, Abdul Rahim Karimi<br />
Second vice president, Hamidullah Rahimi </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
19- Anwar-ul-Haq Ahadi<br />
First vice president, Hashmatullah Mujadidi<br />
Second vice president, Ismail Qasimyar </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
20- Hedayat Amin Arsala<br />
First vice president, Gen. Khudaidad<br />
Second vice president, Safia Seddiqi </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
21- Salman Ali Doostzadeh<br />
First vice president, Mohammad Yousuf Amin<br />
Second vice president, Aziza Rahban Wardak </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
22- Farooq Azam<br />
First vice president, Abdul Ghani Asalati<br />
Second vice president, Ahmad Shah Payeezi </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
23- Khadija Ghaznawi<br />
First vice president, Mohammad Qasim Fayezai<br />
Second vice president, Khair Mohammad Barez </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
24- Nadir Shah Ahmadzai<br />
First vice president, Faiz Mohammad Daqiq<br />
Second vice president, Qadam Ali Khadim </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
25- Abdul Hadi Dabeer<br />
First vice president, Sayed Ahmadullah Padshah<br />
Second vice president, Mawlawi Nesar Ahmad Khair Andish </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
26- Noor Rahman Liwal<br />
First vice president, Ahamad Jan Nazar<br />
Second vice president, Rafiullah </span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br />
27- Dr. Dawar Nadin<br />
First vice president, Mohammad Hassan Safi<br />
Second vice president, Husai Andar</span></div>
Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-55423041849854306182013-10-01T14:47:00.001+01:002013-10-02T15:28:21.120+01:00Marine generals sacked for Camp Bastion failings<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">When a small group of Taliban fighters cut through the fence and got into the massive Camp Bastion in southwestern Helmand province in September last year I wrote the following:<br /><i>"The
Camp Bastion night attack will go down as one of the most one-sided and
audacious attacks in the history of modern warfare. Around 15-20
Taliban got into the base - home to 21,000 US and British soldiers - and
proceeded to destroy six US Marine Harrier AV-8B
jump jets, as well as damage many others. The cost to the Taliban,
besides the deaths of its fighters, was probably no more than a few
thousand dollars. The costs to the Coalition runs into hundreds of
millions of dollars".</i></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">It has taken a year for the American military's most senior commanders to respond to the attack, but now they have done so. In what has been referred to as an "unprecedented" decision, the two senior American officers at the base have been retired from the service ie sacked.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">Major General Charles M Gurganus and Major General Gregg A Sturdevant "did not take the necessary steps to ensure force protection," says the official inquiry, resulting in the deaths of two marines and injury to eight others, as well as massive loss of aircraft and equipment. Gurganus was commanding general of Regional Command Southwest and I Marine Expeditionary Force (Forward) and Sturdevant was commanding general of 3rd Marine Aircraft Wing. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">In announcing the decision, Marine Corps commandant General James F Amos said: "This is the hardest decision I've had to make as commandant of the Marine Corps. I'm not asking you to feel sorry for me, but Mark Gurganus and Greg Sturdevant were close personal friends of mine. I served with them for decades. They're extraordinary Marine officers who have served their country with distinction and honor for many years. But commandership is a sacred responsibility and the standard for general officers is necessarily high. In their duty to protect our forces these two generals did not meet that standard." Quite so. They were outwitted by a bunch of peasant guerrillas.</span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif; font-size: small;">If you want to read the official US Army report into the attack, you can find it <a href="https://www2.centcom.mil/sites/foia/rr/CENTCOM%20Regulation%20CCR%2025210/Camp%20Bastion%20Leatherneck%20Shorabak%20%28BLS%29%20Investigation/Enclosure%200.%20AR%2015-6%20Report%20%28Final%29.pdf">here</a>. </span><br />
<br />Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-38864721871546978212013-10-01T12:26:00.000+01:002013-10-01T12:29:30.250+01:00The banality of modern warfare.<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">For the majority of people outside Afghanistan, the war has largely been forgotten. Operations are winding down, they say, there is talk of peace and, anyway, Syria is a much more pressing issue. In was in that context that I was struck by this news report I read yesterday. In itself, it appears to be nothing unusual - ANSF and Coalition forces killed a number of Taliban fighters overnight in what are termed "clean-up" operations. But look further down the report: "More than 550 militants have been killed and 250 arrested since the beginning of this month". </span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><b></b></span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-size: x-small;"><i><b>22 militants killed in Afghan raids in 24 hours: official </b><br />
KABUL, Sept. 29 (Xinhua) -- Twenty-two militants were killed in
operations in Afghanistan, the country's Interior Ministry said Sunday
morning.
</i></span><br /><span style="font-size: x-small;"><i>"In past 24 hours, Afghan National Security Forces (ANSF),
supported by the NATO-led coalition troops, conducted several cleanup
operations in Nangarhar, Faryab, Kandahar, Uruzgan, Herat, Helmand and
Nimroz provinces. As a result 22 armed Taliban were killed, 12 wounded
and eight others were arrested by the ANSF," the ministry said in a
statement providing daily operational updates.
<br />They also found and seized weapons and defused roadside bomb, it noted.
<br />The ANSF has intensified operations against Taliban and other
militant groups recently. More than 550 militants had been killed and
250 arrested since beginning this month, according the figure released
by the ministry.
<br />In eastern Wardak province, seven Taliban, including a local
leader Mawlawi Enhan, were killed in a joint overnight operation in
Nirkh district, a provincial government spokesman told Xinhua.
<br />The Taliban insurgent group has not made comments yet.</i></span></span></span><br />
<br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Every day, week-in, week-out, for months, if not for years, the Afghan defence ministry and the ISAF command have been reporting this level of casualties amongst the Taliban. Assuming that the figures are accurate, it is worth making a few points: first, generally these deaths are not occurring during firefights. They are usually as a result of night raids - where special forces arrive by helicopter in planned operations that are intelligence-led. The aim is to kill known individuals, preferably commanders and facilitators.</span></span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-weight: normal;">Second, seldom do these reports, which are issued on a daily basis, mention the collateral damage - the civilians who get in the way or the faulty intelligence that results in the wrong people being killed or captured. We just have the bland figures. Another month, another 500 or so people killed in Afghanistan. </span></span><br />
<span style="font-weight: normal;"><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">Just in case you had forgotten the banality of modern, murderous warfare.</span></span>Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com9tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-59049534702567604322013-09-30T15:20:00.003+01:002013-09-30T15:24:11.901+01:00Dutch publish lists of those killed during the late 1970s<a href="http://www.om.nl/onderwerpen/internationale/morotai-%28english%29/">Here is the link to the Dutch public prosecutor's lists</a> of almost 5,000 Afghans murdered during the period when the country was ruled by the Communist Party in the late 1970s. The Death
Lists consist of rows of names, mostly in alphabetic order. With those
names are mentioned: father’s name, occupation, place of origin and an
accusation. <br />
Examples of such accusations are: echwani, ashrar and
Maoist anti-revolutionary. On each list, a date between 1978 and 1979 is
written. On some lists, there is a Government-stamp. The
Transfer Orders give names as well, together with the names of parents,
occupation and place of origin. These documents also contain
information about the locations where those involved were interrogated
and detained.<br />
The documents were obtained in the course of a criminal investigation
into the alleged involvement of an Afghan male residing
in the Netherlands in war crimes and enforced disappearances, committed
in Afghanistan in 1978-1979. The suspect was the former chief of the
Interrogation Department of the Afghan Security Service AGSA -
predecessor to the KAM, KhAD and WAD. In this capacity, say the Dutch,
he was involved
in torture, extrajudicial killings and enforced disappearances. The
suspect died in March 2012, shortly before he was due to be arrested. <br />
The dates on the Transfer Orders give information about
the dates of interrogation and detention. Furthermore, the Transfer
Orders bear the name and the signature of the involved officials. One of
those officials was the deceased suspect. <br />
The authenticity of the documents is not in question. According to the Dutch: "The
original Transfer Orders were handed to the Netherlands Police by the
now deceased Afghan Mirwais Wardak, editor of the book ‘<i>The Hard
Evidence of the Crimes of Khalq and Parcham</i>’. According to the
Netherlands Forensic Institute, the emblem found on the documents as
well as the printing technique and ink used to sign them, match the
years 1978-1980. Several survivors whose names are mentioned in the
Transfer Orders, have confirmed to the Netherlands Police that the
information contained in those documents is correct. Around the dates
mentioned and together with the other persons listed, they have indeed
been handed over to AGSA and were subsequently transferred to the
mentioned prisons, such as the Pul-i-Charkhi and the Deh Mazang."<br />
They add that the
Death Lists were handed to the Netherlands Police by a witness who received them years ago from former United Nations Rapporteur for
Afghanistan Felix Ermacora. The accuracy of the contents of the Death
Lists is confirmed by the accounts of surviving relatives. One witness
has
confirmed that her family members whose names appear on the Death Lists
were indeed arrested and subsequently disappeared in the relevant
time-frame. Finally, the information in the Death Lists is
consistent with information contained in the Transfer Orders. In several
cases, there are matches between identifying information in both sets
of documents.<br />
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Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-3389576630406626642013-07-25T18:29:00.001+01:002013-07-25T18:29:28.941+01:00John Stanton's writings on the Human Terrain System<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhg7e8H0i4g4LTRI9Gra2T4Ws8zOpMkOVfpTd1tIMtmCChNHNl4XCU16Yv8icTEWlBDtBC183c_g2W9kINNFcRwCnVy6BQ5rI_ZNfM5O6sHELwIyJ0kWoDPvzDOctxNk1rDRmdY4u4570w/s1600/HTS.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEhg7e8H0i4g4LTRI9Gra2T4Ws8zOpMkOVfpTd1tIMtmCChNHNl4XCU16Yv8icTEWlBDtBC183c_g2W9kINNFcRwCnVy6BQ5rI_ZNfM5O6sHELwIyJ0kWoDPvzDOctxNk1rDRmdY4u4570w/s1600/HTS.jpg" /></a></div>
US security writer John Stanton has written many articles over the last few years on the US Army's Human Terrain System, some of which have been referenced by this blog. Now 115 of his pieces have been published as a collection. <a href="https://www.createspace.com/4372243">The US Army Terrain System 2008-2013: The Program from Hell</a> costs just $6.66 (ooh er!!), but is worth every penny. Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-90892857508041647312013-07-23T16:51:00.002+01:002013-07-23T16:54:32.810+01:00Anti-IED contract failures spotted by SIGAR<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">The Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction continues to publish the results of investigations into contracting fraud. The latest, <a href="http://www.sigar.mil/pdf/investigations/SIGAR-SP-13-8.pdf"><i>Improvised Explosive Devices: Unclear whether culvert denial systems to protect troop are functioning or were ever installed</i></a>, doesn't wait for the punchline to let you know the result.<br />The report points out that IEDs are increasingly popular with the insurgents, with IED events increasing from 9,300 in 2009 to 16,000 in 2011 - an increase of 42 per cent.<br />To combat IEDs, roads are now built with culvert denial systems - in fact, reinforced metal bars embedded in concrete - to prevent explosives being laid in the drainage channels.<br />A preliminary SIGAR inquiry has now found that at least two Afghan contractors, with contracts of at least $1 million, have committed fraud by billing the US government for the installation of 250 culvert denial systems that were either never installed or incorrectly installed. Both have been arrested and charged with fraud and negligent homicide.<br />SIGAR says it has not been able to determine the total number of such contracts, although they says that "From our review of these contracts, we identified at least 2500 specific grid points where culvert denial systems were supposed to be installed, though with the lack of quality assurance/quality control (QA/QC) documentation in the contract files, it is not clear how many of those culvert denial systems were actually completed." </span>Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-35824238976608854552013-07-19T16:45:00.001+01:002013-07-19T16:45:44.143+01:00More from the Abbottabad Commission reportI am rapidly coming to the conclusion that the <a href="http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/spotlight/binladenfiles/2013/07/201378143927822246.html">Abbottabad Commission</a> report is one of the most important documents to have come out of Pakistan for many years. It is full of insights into how Pakistan really operates - public officials that appear to know little about their specialist area, numerous examples of gross incompetence, buck-passing and massive corruption. Here are a few more snippets. However, I urge readers to read a copy of the report, even if, by all accounts, the final version was watered down to placate the Army and intelligence services.<br />
<br />
<br />
<i>Para 135 - "Major Aziz's remarks about Lt Col Saeed Iqbal are potentially significant as they could reveal about CIA network in Pakistan. Lt Col. Saeed Iqbal, according to Major Aziz employed former ISI employhees in his security business. Although he appears to be a very suspicious person and may well have played an active role in facilitating the Abbottabad incident, the ISI informed the Commission that neither Major Aziz nor Lt Col. Saeed, despite their suspicious background play any such role. This conclusion is somewhat strange as Saeed Iqbal left Pakistan immediately after the incident and attempted to sell his properties."<br /><br />Para 149 - "At minimum, police or security/intelligence officials should have noticed a few other things. There were no visitors to the OBL Compound. There were no television cable or telephone lines. No rubbish was collected. There were 18 feet high walls at places and barbed wire. There was a 7-foot screening on the top wall. This was a security feature, not a purdah requirement. The children did not go to school. The size of the Compound expanded over time. There were no security guards. None of this negligence necessarily implied connivance. But it does suggest gross negligence at the very least."<br /><br />Para 187 - "The Home Secretary (of Khyber-Pakhtunkhwa -ed) and the civilian administration were similarly out of the loop despite their clear responsibilities. Their actual role in counter-terrorism was at best marginal, and in the tracking of OBL it was precisely zero. While there can be no excuse for this 'acceptance of realities' by senior officials, it has to be noted that they functioned in a very perverse political and administrative environment in which insistence on the correct performance of duty was often rewarded with severe punishment."<br /><br />Para 217-220 - "During the seminar Afridi (Dr Shakeel Afridi) said he met the head of Save the Children, an Australian named Mr Michael McGrath...He said he wanted to launch a Save the Children Program in Bara and asked for Afridi's advice. He suggested to Afridi they meet in Islamabad to discuss the matter in greater detail...<br />McGrath appeared very concerned that no more than 5 per cent of the funds were being used properly. The rest was pocketed by various people. He asked for Afridi's assistance and offered to pay him for his efforts. He also wanted to know why Mangalbagh opposed the STC program. He wanted to know who funded Mangalbagh and who were in his Shura. He said Save the Children would request the Government of Pakistan to clear the area of extremists opposed to the program.<br />After a few meetings in Islamabad, Afridi said he was introduced by McGrath to an American woman called 'Kate'. Afridi assumed responsibility for various components of the Save the Children Prorgam including hepatitis which was on the rise in FATA. A vaccination program was launched in FATA which was very successful....<br />During the whole of 2010 he regularly met 'Kate'. Their meetings took place at a USAID warehouse the location of which Afridi did not know because he claimed he was always taken there in a vehicle with tinted glass windows."<br /><br />Para 233 - "Only a fair trial based on due process can establish the extent and nature of his (Dr Shakeel Afridi's) involvement. While he should stand trial, convicting him on trumped up charges by a government-sponsored tribal jirga was not a proper course as it completely undermined the credibility of the country and its judicial process It was a travesty which allowed critics to argue the government had no real case against Afridi. The Commission, on the contrary, finally believes Afridi in fact has a case to answer.</i>"Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-63028251460948939022013-07-18T17:46:00.001+01:002013-07-18T17:46:45.673+01:00More great quotes from the Abbottabad Commission report - 2Here are some more quotes from the Abbottabad Commission report, to date the most comprehensive account of bin Laden' stay in that city. The report is a goldmine of information which indicates that there is still much that is unknown about bin Laden's movements and connections in Pakistan.<br />
<br />
<i>"They (the wives and children of bin Laden-ed) were able to take only a few possessions with them. Of their valuables they could find nothing except for two or three gold 'biscuits' of ten tolas each. The Americans had taken away a jewel box with twenty gold biscuits and two gold lockets with emeralds. They also took a purse that contained the will of Osama bin Laden. Khairiyyah (bin Laden's eldest wife-ed) had previously read the will but did not wish to divulge the details. She said it was not political and pertained only to personal and family related matters. Other reports suggested that the will said his children should not seek the leadership of al-Qaeda."<br /><br />"Ibrahim, (one of bin Laden's two guards in Abbottabad) had been with him ever since he was introduced to him by Khalid Sheikh Mohammed. Ibrahim and KSM had practically grown up together in Kuwait and were as close as brothers."<br /><br />"During their six-year stay in Abbottabad, Maryam (Ibrahim's wife) never once saw OBL!"<br /><br />"With regard to the capture of the Bali bomber Umar Patek in Abbottabad reportedly in January 2011, it was very likely that his al-Qaeda support network had contact with the al-Qaeda network of support for OBL. The local ISI did not probe this possibility although it had been tracking al-Qaeda in the area for at least two years. During this time it did not solicit the cooperation of the civil administration including the police. The interrogation of the Umar Patek network members should have turned up actionable information. What had brought Umar Patek to Abbottabad? Had he come to meet OBL as his Indonesian interrogators later claimed? ....It seems the ISI never developed any real intelligence on what Umar Patek had come to Abbottabad for beyond the romantic story of going to Afghanistan to seek martyrdom. Moreover, Abbottabad does not lie on the usual routes to Afghanistan....It would seem very likely that Patek, despite his denial, had come to seek instructions or inspiration from OBL." </i>Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-88916984716967474342013-07-18T16:51:00.000+01:002013-07-22T13:30:12.010+01:00Adnan Rasheed's letter to Malala Yousafzai<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">Here is the text of the letter sent by Pakistan Taliban member Adnan Rasheed to Malala Yousafzai via Pakistani journalists:</span><i><br /></i><br />
<br />
<i>IN THE NAME OF ALLAH THE MOST MERACIFULL [sic] AND BENEFICEINT [sic]</i><br />
<i>From Adnan Rasheed to Malala Yousafzai:</i><br />
<i>Peace to those who follow the guidance</i><br />
<i>Miss Malala Yousafzai,</i><br />
<i>I am writing to you in my personal capacity [and] this may not be
the opinion or policy of Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan or other jihadi
faction or group.</i><br />
<i>I heard about you through BBC Urdu service for the first time
when I was in Bannu Prison. At that time I wanted to write to you, to
advise you to refrain from the anti-Taliban activities you were involved
in. But I could not find your address and I was still thinking whether
to approach you with real or pseudonym, as all my emotions were
brotherly for you because we belong to same Yousafzai tribe.</i><br />
<i>Meanwhile the prison break happened and I was supposed to be in
hiding. When you were attacked it was shocking for me and I wished it
would never happened and that I had advised you before the Taliban
attacked you. Was it Islamically [sic] correct or wrong, or you deserved
to be killed or not, I will not go into this argument now—let’s leave
it to Allah Almighty, as He is the best judge. Here I want to advise you
as I am already late, I wish I would have advised you in my prison time
and this accident would never happened.</i><br />
<i>First of all please mind that Taliban never attacked you because
of going to school or you were education lover, also please mind that
Taliban or mujahideen are not against the education of any men or women
or girl. The Taliban believe that you were intentionally writing against
them and running a smear campaign to malign their efforts to establish
Islamic system in Swat and your writings were provocative. You said in
your speech yesterday that pen is mightier than sword, so they attacked
you for your sword not for your books or school. There were thousands of
girls who were going to school and college before and after the Taliban
insurgency in Swat. Would you explain why were only you on their hit
list???</i><br />
<i>Now to explain to you the second point, why Taliban are blowing
up schools? The answer to this question is that not only Taliban in KPK
or FATA are blowing up the schools but Pakistan Army and Frontier
Constabulary is equally involved in this issue. The reason for this
action is common between them that schools are being turned into
hideouts and transit camps once [an area] comes under control of either
party—the Pakistan Army or Taliban. In 2004 I was in Swat, I was
researching on the causes of failure of the first revolution attempt by
Sufi Muhammad. I came to know that FC was stationed in the schools of
Swat in tehsil Matta and FC was using schools as their transit camps and
hideouts. Now tell me who is to blame??? Dozens of schools and colleges
are being used by Pakistan Army and FC as their barracks in FATA, you
can find out easily if you like. So when something sacred is turned
lethal it needs to be eliminated this is the policy of Taliban.</i><br />
<i>Blowing up schools when they are not being used strategically is
not the Taliban’s job, some black sheep of local administration may be
involved to extract more and more funds in the name of schools to fill
their bank accounts.</i><br />
<i>Now I come to the main point that is EDUCATION, it is amazing
that you are shouting for education, you and the UNO is pretending that
as you were shot due to education, although this is not the reason, be
honest, not the education but your propaganda was the issue and what you
are doing now, you are using your tongue on the behest of the others
and you must know that if the pen is mightier than the sword then tongue
is sharper and the injury of sword can be hailed but the injury of the
tongue never hails and in wars tongue is more destructive than any
weapon.</i><br />
<i>I would like to share with you that Indian subcontinent was
highly educated and almost every citizen was able to read or write
before British invasion. Locals used to teach British officers Arabic,
Hindi, Urdu and Persian. Almost every mosque was acting as school too
and Muslim emperors used to spend a huge sum of money on education.
Muslim India was rich in farming, silk, and jute and from textile
industry to shipbuilding. No poverty, no crises and no clashes of
civilization or religion. Because the education system was based on
noble thoughts and noble curriculum.</i><br />
<i>I want to draw your attention to an extract from the minutes
written by Sir T. B. Macaulay to British parliament dated Feb. 2, 1835
about what type of education system is required in Indian subcontinent
to replace the Muslim education system. He stated: “We must at present
do our best to form a class who may be interpreters between us and the
millions whom we govern, a class of persons Indian in blood and color,
but English in tastes, in opinions, in morals and in intellect.”</i><br />
<i>This was and this is the plan and mission of this so called
education system for which you are ready to die, for which UNO takes you
to their office to produce more and more Asians in blood but English in
taste, to produce more and more Africans in color but English in
opinion, to produce more and more non English people but English in
morale. This so called education made Obama, the mass murder, your
ideal. Isn’t it?</i><br />
<i>Why [do] they want to make all human beings English? Because
Englishmen are the staunch supporters and slaves of Jews. Do you know
Sir Syed Ahmed Khan, the founder and symbol of English education in
India was a freemason. You say a teacher, a pen and a book can change
the world, yes I agree with, but which teacher which pen and which book?
It is to be specified, Prophet Muhammad (peace be upon him) said I am
sent as a teacher, and the book He sent to teach is Quran. So a noble
and pious teacher with prophetic curriculum can change the world not
with satanic or secular curriculum.</i><br />
<i>You have given the example that once a journalist asked a student
why a talib is afraid of this education. He replied a talib didn’t know
what was in this book. The same I say to you and through you to whole
world that why they afraid from the book of Allah because they don’t
know what is in it. Taliban want to implement what is in the book of
ALLAH and UNO want to implement what they have in manmade books. We want
to connect the world to their creator through the book of Allah and UNO
want to enslave the world to few evil creatures.</i><br />
<i>You have talked about justice and equality from the stage of an
unjust institution. The place where you were standing uttering for
justice and equality, all the nations are not equal there, only five
wicked states have the veto power and rest of them are powerless, dozens
of time when all the world untied [sic] against the Israel only one
veto was enough to press the throat of justice.</i><br />
<i>The place you were speaking to the world is heading towards new
world order, I want to know what is wrong [with] the old world order?
They want to establish global education, global economy, global army,
global trade, global government and finally global religion. I want to
know is there any space for the prophetic guidance in all above global
plans? Is there any space for Islamic shariah or Islamic law which U.N.
call inhumane and barbaric? You have talked about attack on polio team,
would you explain why the then American foreign secretary of state Henry
Kissinger, a Jew, said in 1973 to reduce the third world population by
80%. Why the sterilization and eugenics programs are running in
different countries in one way or another under the umbrella of UNO.
More than 1 million Muslim women have been sterilized in Uzbekistan
forcibly without their consent.</i><br />
<i>Bertrand Russell writes in his book, The Impact of Science on
Society: “Diet, injections and injunctions will combine, from a very
early age, to produce the sort of character and sort of beliefs that the
authorities consider desirable and any serious criticism of power that
be will become psychologically impossible.”</i><br />
<i>This is why we have the reservation on so called polio
vaccination program. You say Malala Day is not your day, it is the day
of every person who has raised voice for their rights, I ask you why
such a day in not assigned to Rachel Corrie, only because the bulldozer
was Israeli? Why such a day in not assigned to Afia Siddiqa because the
buyers are Americans? Why such day is not assigned to Faizan and Faheem
because the killer was Raymond Davis? Why such a day in not assigned to
those 16 innocent Afghan women and children who were shot dead by an
American Robert Bales because he was not a Talib.</i><br />
<i>I ask you and be honest in reply, if you were shot but Americans
in a drone attack, would world have ever heard updates on your medical
status? Would you be called ‘daughter of the nation’? Would the media
make a fuss about you? Would General Kayani have come to visit you and
would the world media be constantly reporting on you? Would you be
called to U.N.? Would a Malala Day be announced? More than 300 innocent
women and children have been killed in drones attacks but who cares
because attackers are highly educated, non-violent, peaceful Americans.</i><br />
<i>I wish the compassion you learnt from Prophet Muhammad (peace be
upon him) should be learnt by Pakistan Army so they could stop shedding
of Muslim blood in FATA and Balochistan. I wish, the compassion you
learnt from Prophet Jesus should be learnt by the U.S. and NATO so they
should stop shedding blood of innocent Muslims across the world and I
wish the same for followers of Buddha to stop killing of innocent
unarmed Muslims in Burma, and Sri Lanka and wish the same for Indian
Army to follow Gandhi jee and stop genocide in Kashmir, and yes, the
followers of Bacha Khan, the ANP has an example of non-violence in their
five years regime in KPK province, for example Swat, where a single
shot was not fired and we witnessed the followers of Bacha Khan
implemented the philosophy of nonviolence in its true soul, with support
of jets, tanks and gunships.</i><br />
<i>At the end I advise you to come back home, adopt the Islamic and
Pushtoon culture, join any female Islamic madrassah near your hometown,
study and learn the book of Allah, use your pen for Islam and plight of
Muslim ummah and reveal the conspiracy of tiny elite who want to enslave
the whole humanity for their evil agendas in the name of new world
order.</i><br />
<i>All praises to Allah, the creator of the universe.</i><br />
<i>July 15, 2013.</i>Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-10357401092738483342013-07-10T18:06:00.000+01:002013-07-10T18:06:03.327+01:00Great quotes from the Abbottabad Commission report - 1<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">"When OBL moved about the Compound he wore a cowboy hat to avoid detection from above."</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">"OBL apparently did not discuss political matters with his wives. The elder wives were well educated and were said to have postgraduate degrees in Arabic literature and Islamic studies respectively."</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><br /></span>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">"The family of OBL did not mix or socialise with the families of Abrar and Ibrahim (<i>his Pashtun couriers-Ed</i>). The children did not play together. There was in fact a wall separating them."</span><br />
<br />
Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-82961020767967930442013-05-28T12:58:00.002+01:002013-05-28T12:58:53.316+01:00Election carnage in Pakistan<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">Political violence in Pakistan is seldom reported in mainstream media, so the figures for attacks during the recent election campaign, <a href="http://san-pips.com/download.php?f=222.pdf">compiled by the Pak Institute for Peace Studies (PIPS)</a>, are shocking: 298 people lost their lives and 885 others
were injured across Pakistan between 1 January 1 and 15 May in 148 reported
terrorist attacks on political leaders, workers and voters, and 97
incidents of political violence.
The PIPS report says that the number of terrorist attacks on political leaders and
workers significantly increased about
six to seven weeks before the 2013 general elections. <br />
Out of total 148 attacks, 108 were perpetrated by the Tehreek-e-Taliban
Pakistan (TTP) and associated local Taliban and other militant groups. These attacks
claimed the lives of 156 people and injured 665 others. Baloch nationalist
insurgents carried out 40 attacks that killed 14 people and injured
another 78.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">
</span><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">The Awami National Party (ANP) bore the brunt of the terrorist attacks - 37 - followed by Pakistan People’s Party (PPP) and
Mutahidda Qaumi Movement (MQM) with 12 attacks each. While militants hit the
ANP and PPP in almost every region of Pakistan, the MQM was frequently targeted in
Karachi. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">Party leaders, workers and candidates of of Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz
(PML-N) were targeted in 10 terrorist attacks, mainly in Balochistan and
Punjab. Three factions of Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam (Fazl, Sami and Nazriati or
JUI-F, JUI-S and JUI-N, respectively) and Jamaat-e-Islami (JI) were also
targeted by militants in parts of Sindh, Balochistan, Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and
FATA. <br />
As many as five terrorist attacks hit leaders and workers of Imran Khan's Pakistan
Tehreek-e-Insaf (PTI) in KP and Punjab. Balochistan’s nationalist parties were
targeted in a total of eight attacks. Meanwhile 19 attacks hit independent
election candidates, their offices and rallies and 17 attacks targeted polling
stations in Balochistan and Khyber Pakhtunkhwa. <br />
The number of terrorist attacks targeting political leaders and workers,
election candidates and polling stations by region was reported as 50 from Khyber Pakhtunkhwa, followed by 49 in Balochistan, 30 in Sindh, 12 in FATA and 7 in Punjab.<br />
Apart from those killed in terrorist attacks between January and May, another 128 leaders and workers of different political parties were
killed and 142 injured in 97 reported incidents of political violence and
clashes between supporters and workers of different political parties during
the same period of time.<br />
The highest number of such incidentswas
reported from Sindh - 73, including 70 in Karachi alone - followed by nine
incidents each in KP and Punjab. Six incidents of political violence were
reported from Balochistan. </span><br />
<br />
Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-12656267041830416722013-05-14T15:47:00.000+01:002013-05-14T15:47:55.317+01:00SIGAR boss says officials tried to intimidate him<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7xAp2UB3d9RCNSVwxlXEO7MC_E8aSEDZX24cJTeC4sGndNPbvkjDrNfSMQYmq8m-gR41rbl-sHjR5MKiXWzsXzot3-HYBZPgsziVqgcijthqT_BAPj2uweS8cp_pmTuWOVE89lX5b1ig/s1600/sopko.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="320" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg7xAp2UB3d9RCNSVwxlXEO7MC_E8aSEDZX24cJTeC4sGndNPbvkjDrNfSMQYmq8m-gR41rbl-sHjR5MKiXWzsXzot3-HYBZPgsziVqgcijthqT_BAPj2uweS8cp_pmTuWOVE89lX5b1ig/s320/sopko.jpg" width="288" /></a></div>
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<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">US government
bureaucrats have tried to intimidate John Sopko, the Special Inspector General
for Afghanistan Reconstruction, saying his should stop making public his audits
revealing waste, corruption and mismanagement of projects to rebuild the
country.</span></span></div>
<span style="font-size: small;"><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">
</span></span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm; mso-layout-grid-align: none; text-autospace: none;">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><span style="font-size: small;">Speaking at an event <a href="http://www.thenewamerican.com/usnews/foreign-policy/item/15384-afghanistan-watchdog-says-officials-blocking-his-reports">organised by the New America Foundation</a> on 8 May, Sopko also said that some
officials have even complained that they cannot edit his reports before they
are published. </span><span style="font-size: 6pt;"></span></span></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">
</span><br />
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">“Since my appointment by the President
last summer, I have been surprised to learn how many people both in and out of
the government do not understand the role of an independent inspector general,”
said Sopko.</span></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">
</span><br />
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">Sopko told the meeting that the
Afghan Ministry of Defense may be unable to buy fuel for the Afghan army once US
troops leave; he added that the US government could not account for the fuel it
provided the army; that it paid for repairs on police vehicles it had not seen
for over a year; that police buildings are lying empty and that creative use of
ghost employees and desertions mean that the total number of Afghan troops is
unclear.</span></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">
</span><br />
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">“It is hard to know if the Afghan
army and police are ready if we don’t know how many troops are available to
fight insurgent forces,” Sopko said.</span></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">
</span><br />
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">“Over the last 10 months, I have
been criticized by some bureaucrats for not pre-clearing my press releases with
them, for not letting them edit the titles of my audits, for talking too much
to Congress, for talking too much to the press … and, basically, for not being
a ‘team player’ and undermining ‘our country’s mission in Afghanistan,’ ” Sopko
said in his speech. He continued:</span></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">
</span><br />
<div style="margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin: 0cm;">
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">“Many in our government, even some
surprisingly senior officials you think would know better, seem to believe that
an inspector general should be their partner — or, more correctly, their silent
partner. In their opinion, my reports should be slipped in a sealed envelope in
the dead of night under the door — never to see the light of day — because
those reports could embarrass the administration, embarrass President Karzai,
embarrass Afghanistan."</span></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">
</span><br />
<div class="MsoNormal" style="line-height: normal; margin-bottom: .0001pt; margin-bottom: 0cm;">
<br /></div>
Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-32283171739937860382013-05-09T16:35:00.000+01:002013-05-09T17:11:34.910+01:00Anyone out there listening to SIGAR?<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">The latest 232-page <a href="http://www.sigar.mil/pdf/quarterlyreports/2013-04-30qr.pdf">quarterly report</a>
<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"></span>of the Special Inspector General for
Afghanistan Reconstruction (SIGAR) contains a useful overview of US aid efforts
in the country, showing where more than $93 billion has been spent since 2002.</span></div>
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</span><br />
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<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">The report highlights the usual problems– new hospitals in
Gardez and Khair Khot that are unlikely to run for very long as their operating
budgets are five times the existing budget, or millions of dollars’ worth of
electrical equipment sitting around unused by the main power distribution
company – as well as a few that ought to have been sorted by now: the Afghan
National Security Forces still have no easy way of determining how many people
serve in the Army or police forces. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">Yesterday in Washington, SIGAR boss John Sopko revealed that $50m stolen from the US government had disappeared from a Kabul bank vault, despite efforts to freeze the account. Sopko referred to the Afghan government in his speech as a "criminal patronage network". </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">SIGAR is doing a great job, but is anyone listening?</span></div>
Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-49030072170381200202013-05-09T14:03:00.002+01:002013-05-09T14:03:38.600+01:00Fiction writing flourishing in Pakistan<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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Fiction writing is flourishing in Pakistan, as <a href="http://www.jinnah-institute.org/images/ahmernaqvipb.pdf">a glance at the general election manifestos</a>
of the main political parties will confirm. Most dishonest manifesto? A strong
candidate is that published by the Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam-Fazl (JUI-F), <span style="mso-spacerun: yes;"> </span>which, <a href="http://tribune.com.pk/story/537505/jui-fs-election-plan-english-urdu-versions-of-manifesto-termed-incongruent/">according to analysts</a>, leaves out a chapter on sharia law from its English version and in its Urdu
version leaves out a chapter on women’s rights.</div>
Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-74189175361848565662013-05-07T18:09:00.004+01:002013-05-07T18:09:56.705+01:00Pakistan Taliban launches new English-language mag<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">The first edition of <i>Azan</i> magazine, published by people associated with one of the Pakistan Taliban factions, has made its appearance and can be downloaded <a href="hxxp://archive.org/download/jhuf-azan1/azaan1.pdf">here</a>. Although it is attempting to emulate the look and feel of <i>Inspire</i>, the al-Qaeda magazine once published by American zealot Anwar al-Awlaki in the Yemen, it is nowhere near as sophisticated or engaging. Long articles about the 'End Times' that read like Christian fundamentalist poppycock, and badly-researched articles on drones are not likely to impress.</span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">Most telling is the article on Malala Yousufzai, the young Swati girl that the Tehreek-e-Taliban tried to assassinate. The article cannot admit the most basic point about this barbaric act - that it was un-Islamic and that it led to a huge loss of prestige for the TTP. Bizarrely, the writer asks Malala is she has ever heard of Yvonne Ridley: "Did you not hear about Yvonne Ridley? She found Islam with the same Taliban you are running away from!" Somehow I don't think Ms Ridley would agree.</span>Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-14066876576542843572013-04-11T12:11:00.001+01:002013-04-11T12:11:56.744+01:00How did this lot get here? And who's taking it away?<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjputIo7SovMgJJX95ZbwShY0PaTJGEuJ3n_o7-M6bX7nkt8ZPDP_q2it4YJF73fthDPDqR3TeL5WdLhHlMhX3vJY-JyGGW3WA6B8TcfbHkxmfmlSjHGA_9WvfLs3v_gBPl6-VNYW-FdSo/s1600/equipment.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="228" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjputIo7SovMgJJX95ZbwShY0PaTJGEuJ3n_o7-M6bX7nkt8ZPDP_q2it4YJF73fthDPDqR3TeL5WdLhHlMhX3vJY-JyGGW3WA6B8TcfbHkxmfmlSjHGA_9WvfLs3v_gBPl6-VNYW-FdSo/s400/equipment.jpg" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b><span style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Waiting for a lift home</span></b></td></tr>
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The cost of returning more than £6 billion-worth of British military
equipment from Afghanistan at the end of 2014 – including 3,500 hi-tech and
heavily armoured reconnaissance and troop-carrying vehicles – could reach half
a billion pounds, according to evidence submitted to a Parliamentary inquiry
published this week.</div>
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The <a href="http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201213/cmselect/cmdfence/413/41302.htm">Commons Defence Select Committee</a>
notes that there are presently more than 11,000 container-loads of military
equipment in Afghanistan, including 350 Foxhound reconnaissance vehicles worth
almost £1 million each, storerooms full of<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>weapons and ammunition, dozens of rotor and fixed wing aircraft – and
everything else Britain’s 9,000 troops need to function efficiently.</div>
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For the US forces, the problems are even more stark; with an estimated
$36 billion-worth of equipment in country – made up of 750,000 pieces of major
military equipment - it is likely to cost something in the region of $6 billion
to bring back home. A detailed assessment of the issues, from the US GAO can be
found <a href="http://gao.gov/assets/660/651010.pdf">here</a>.
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With just over 18 months to go before British troops withdraw,
equipment is still arriving in country. A plan for bringing the equipment home
is not expected to be announced for another six weeks, according to the MOD.
Negotiations with countries to the north of Afghanistan over transit routes are
not expected to be completed until July at the earliest. A new transit deal with Pakistan
has recently been agreed, but it remains a dangerous route.</div>
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Unlike the British withdrawal from Iraq, where much of the equipment
was transported by road before being loaded onto ships in Kuwait, Afghanistan
is a land-locked country with poor infrastructure. Equipment can only leave via
one of three long and dangerous land routes, or via an expensive air bridge.
“There’s little point in bringing back gear that costs more to transport than
it’s worth,” said an MOD official. </div>
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MOD officials told the committee that ‘only’ 6,500 containers will
eventually be brought home, with the contents of the remaining 40 per cent being either
destroyed, donated, sold or consumed.<span style="mso-spacerun: yes;">
</span>Much of the remaining ‘warlike’ equipment will not be allowed to travel
northwards through Uzbekistan and then by rail through Russia, whilst other
equipment is too secret or strategically important to trust to the roads, where
it could be attacked or stolen by insurgents.</div>
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Instead, Britain will have to compete with other ISAF countries to
charter one of the small number of massive Antonov AN-124 transport aircraft
that are available on the commercial market. If the equipment of all ISAF
forces is taken into account, it is estimated that more than 100,000
containers-worth of military equipment will have to leave Afghanistan by the
end of 2014. </div>
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The Defence Select Committee report does not provide an overall cost
for removing military equipment from Afghanistan, although it says each
container load can cost up to £12,000 to send by road and rail and up to
£30,000 if it has to be sent by air. Defence Secretary Philip Hammond initially
said the total cost will be around £100 million – later updated to £300 million
- but evidence from Brigadier David Martin, who retired last year as head of the Army’s
Support Chain Management, says such a figure “looks very optimistic”. He
believes that a total of £500 million will be closer to the mark, although even
that figure may eventually be too low.</div>
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Defence analyst Francis Tusa,
who also gave evidence to the select committee, was equally sceptical about
both the MOD’s costs and the timetable: “If you were just to rely on the
airlift that the UK could reasonably call upon and you assumed everything else
was benign, and we could move stuff from out bases to Camp Bastion with no
obstruction, it would still take the best part of three complete years to draw
all the equipment. Forget the people; the people would be extra. Three complete
years to withdraw the equipment we have in Afghanistan.”</div>
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He pointed out that the permanent joint logistics HQ was recently very
pleased that it had managed to ship back 120 containers in one six-month
period. “The air bridge is working great at getting stuff out there. The
problem is that the imperative is always to get stuff out there.” Getting it
back is a different problem.</div>
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Tusa, who thinks a minimum figure of around £600 million is likely,
pointed out that the far less complex operation to draw down from Kuwait,
conducted in an entirely benevolent environment and with much of the equipment
previously withdrawn, still cost £170 million. In that case there were fewer
than 4,000 containers of equipment to be disposed of, compared to the 11,000-plus in
Afghanistan – and only 500 vehicles compared to 3,500.</div>
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Tusa added that just refurbishing the vehicles that are brought back,
in order to make them fit for service, will cost close to £2 billion. At
present there is no budget for this level of expenditure. </div>
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<br /></div>
Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-43761773256214774782013-04-10T11:57:00.001+01:002013-04-10T11:57:31.040+01:00How Raymond Davis gummed up the works<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"><i>The New York Times</i><a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2013/04/14/magazine/raymond-davis-pakistan.html?partner=rssnyt&emc=rss&_r=0"> is serialising</a> chunks of Mark Mazetti's new book, <i>The Way of the Knife: the CIA, a Secret Army and a War at the Ends of the Earth</i> (please excuse the gratuitous caps), about CIA operations in Pakistan. The latest installment, on the Raymond Davis case, makes excellent reading and purports to explain the major fall-out between the US and Pakistan following the arrest of the CIA contractor on a double murder charge in Lahore in January 2011. </span><a href="http://www.amazon.com/The-Way-Knife-Secret-Earth/dp/1594204802/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&qid=1365278977&sr=8-1&keywords=The+Way+of+the+Knife" id="yui_3_7_2_1_1365590650732_2182" rel="nofollow" target="_blank"><em id="yui_3_7_2_1_1365590650732_2181"></em></a>Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-61808502549401359982013-04-04T18:13:00.001+01:002013-04-04T18:13:58.539+01:00Car rally in FATA runs out of gasWhatever happened to that car rally planned for FATA by the Pakistan Army? No takers?Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com1tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-87213179530903815312013-04-04T18:06:00.001+01:002013-04-04T18:07:33.882+01:00Drilling down into Lashkar-e-Taiba<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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Fighters from Pakistan’s Lashkar-e-Taiba – responsible for the Mumbai
attacks in 2008 and many other terrorist atrocities, are only 17 years old on
average when they are recruited and around 21 when they died, according to a detailed
study of 900 militants from the group who died while members of the
organisation, <a href="http://www.ctc.usma.edu/wp-content/uploads/2013/04/Fighters-of-LeT_Final.pdf">published by the Combatting Terrorism Center</a>.</div>
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Using information collected from obituaries published in four
Urdu-language newspapers, the authors have put together a comprehensive
portrait of young militants in the organisation, which complements Stephen <span style="mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin;">Tankel’s </span><span style="mso-bidi-font-family: Calibri; mso-bidi-theme-font: minor-latin; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: EN-GB;"><i>Storming the World
Stage: The Story of Lashkar-e-Taiba</i> (New York, Columbia University Press,
2011).</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: "Times New Roman","serif"; font-size: 10.0pt; mso-fareast-font-family: "Times New Roman"; mso-fareast-language: EN-GB;"> </span>Families
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whom have a higher level of education than the average Pakistani male. Most had
only spent an average of three years at a madrassa and few had a high level of
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Most are recruited from the Punjab region of Pakistan, including the
regions around Gujranwala, Faisalabad, Lahore, Sheikhupura, Sialkot and
Bahawalpur. They were recruited by current members, family members, mosques,
hearing LET speeches or friends, in that order. Training took place mainly in
Muzaffarabad in Kashmir or in Afghanistan. Most of those who died were killed
in Kashmir, although numbers have dropped off as the organisation has spread
out to work in different areas. </div>
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<br /></div>
Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-37870372535309809892013-04-04T12:02:00.000+01:002013-04-04T12:02:10.009+01:00Stinging rebuke on Pakistan aid programme<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">The UK Parliament’s International Development Committee has
delivered a stinging blow to the Department for International Development over
its aid policy to Pakistan.<a href="http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201213/cmselect/cmintdev/725/72502.htm"> A report published this week</a> by the committee recognises the importance of the UK’s bilateral aid to Pakistan, but notes that
in the past British aid money has “not been spent effectively” in Pakistan.</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">It says that such aid spending cannot continue unless there
is “clear evidence that the newly elected Pakistan Government is also willing
to make the necessary changes so as to contribute more to improving the livelihood
of its people”. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">At present only 0.57 per cent of Pakistanis – around 768,000
people – pay income tax. The rich pay nothing, nor do more than 70 per cent of elected
politicians. No-one has been prosecuted for income tax evasion during the last 25 years. </span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">The committee says that DFID should only increase official
development assistance to the planned £464 million per annum “if there is
evidence that the newly elected Pakistan administration will increase tax
revenues in general and income tax, in particular, and if it subsequently
succeeds in increasing the amount of tax taken.”</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">It adds: “If the Pakistan Government is unwilling to take
action to increase its revenues and improve services for its people, it cannot
expect the British people to do so in the long run. We cannot expect the
citizens of the UK to pay taxes to improve education and health in Pakistan if
the Pakistan elite is not paying income tax.”</span></div>
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<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">The committee also recommends that Britain and other donors
encourage the Pakistan government to strengthen the powers and independence of
the country’s National Accountability Bureau in an effort to reduce corruption
in the country. </span></div>
Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-21013075003715329492013-03-11T19:04:00.000+00:002013-03-11T19:04:10.407+00:00Nagieb Khaja's Afghanistan film in London<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjal1Mrs-H4hItGhG1iJf7Ngl1cJTkuoH6I2LrVsNasWqN8mH5eEZ8i08f3zQH37AbRQK8fuj3TPhgBo7wBLoZEycUtly_c4EuBJiv06-xPuudNJGORLt9cl7NI6PpcmM_afo1skawvPFA/s1600/MyAfghanistan.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="226" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEjal1Mrs-H4hItGhG1iJf7Ngl1cJTkuoH6I2LrVsNasWqN8mH5eEZ8i08f3zQH37AbRQK8fuj3TPhgBo7wBLoZEycUtly_c4EuBJiv06-xPuudNJGORLt9cl7NI6PpcmM_afo1skawvPFA/s400/MyAfghanistan.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">This weekend there are two opportunities in London to see Nagieb Khaja's film, <i>My Afghanistan - Life in the Forbidden Zone</i>. On view as part of the Human Rights Watch Film Festival at the Ritzy Cinema in Brixton (Saturday) and at the Curzon Soho (Sunday), the film is based on filmclips shot by Afghan citizens in and around LashKar Gah in Helmand. <br />Najieb is a Danish filmmaker of Afghan origin, but even he was unable to travel far from the town. Instead he gave people mobile phones equipped with cameras and asked them to film their daily lives. <br />Thus we get the story of Hakl Sahab as he drives in his brakeless, 70-year-old jeep; we hear hairstyling tips from Jurna Gulm; watch farmer and widower Abdul Mohammed raise his four children alone, and so on.<br />Most of the films that come out of Afghanistan are told from Westerners' viewpoints, often the military. This film is different. Go and see it.</span><br />Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-85346954056891561812013-02-27T15:31:00.000+00:002013-02-27T15:31:09.914+00:00State Dept (finally) designates Maulvi Nazir group<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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The US Department of State <a href="http://www.state.gov/r/pa/prs/ps/2013/02/205195.htm">has announced</a>, rather belatedly,
that what it theatrically refers to as the ‘Commander Wazir Group’ of South
Waziristan and one of its alleged leaders , ‘Sub Commander Malang Wazir’ are
to be designated as a global terrorists. Steady on boys! This is not South America! <a href="http://www.operationspaix.net/DATA/DOCUMENT/4799%7Ev%7EThe_Battle_for_Pakistan___Militancy_and_Conflict_in_South_Waziristan.pdf">A detailed investigation into the various factions in South Waziristan</a> written by Mansur Khan Mahsud of the FATA Research Centre in 2010, makes no mention of Maulvi Nazir's group being known by this name. </div>
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Leaving aside the fact that Maulvi Wazir himself was killed in a US drone
strike in January, it seems a little odd to me that State has decided to
designate ‘sub commander’ Malang Wazir, who is known to be part of the
leadership, but has chosen not to mention Bahawal Khan, also called
Salahuddin Ayubi, who was announced as Nazir's successor.</div>
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Bahawal Khan, said to be aged 34 and an illiterate former bus driver, is a
long-time close associate of Mullah Nazir, the two men having fought together
alongside the Taliban in Afghanistan before the 2001 US invasion. Bahawal Khan
is seen as hot-tempered, unlike his predecessor. </div>
Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-62303923496033627322013-02-27T11:37:00.004+00:002013-02-27T15:32:07.619+00:00No fall in Taliban attacks in 2012<!--[if gte mso 9]><xml>
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So reported attacks by the Taliban did not fall by 7 per
cent last year, according to the <a href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/afp/article/ALeqM5irPRZssJEZO1K64kjjo7W03E7NZA?docId=CNG.bf8fa127ed1f884b8090245b33eda741.341">AFP news agency</a>. ISAF had previously published the figures
on its website, but yesterday was forced to admit they were wrong.<span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;"> "This
is a regrettable error in our database systems that was discovered during a
routine quality check. We are making the appropriate adjustments," said
Pentagon spokesman George Little.</span></div>
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<span style="font-size: 12pt; line-height: 115%;">Officials later explained that the figures
were wrong because some had come from Afghan units which had not entered the
figures correctly into a database. Literacy and levels of education in some of
the units is low, according to reports. In fact Taliban attacks in 2012
totalled around 3,000, about the same as the previous year.</span></div>
Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-19091915129879512002013-02-25T14:22:00.000+00:002013-02-25T14:22:18.950+00:00Panorama preview at the Frontline tonight<div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;">
<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQDyIIKTll-Wjm0LjPmnmbg2l-IACCssyOqzRsnkxdkScrvlfaBQegX1u_PO2jIArpuNC-1pnW5d6wPy2pg_xxDGJKrBIlUj62f7afrhnHWWzzFXTTWBxdNySn6sWWN5kFh2YkgTgxADU/s1600/Helmand.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="265" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEiQDyIIKTll-Wjm0LjPmnmbg2l-IACCssyOqzRsnkxdkScrvlfaBQegX1u_PO2jIArpuNC-1pnW5d6wPy2pg_xxDGJKrBIlUj62f7afrhnHWWzzFXTTWBxdNySn6sWWN5kFh2YkgTgxADU/s400/Helmand.jpg" width="400" /></a></div>
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">At the Frontline Club in London tonight, where we will be previewing a Panorama film, directed by Ben Anderson, on Helmand. Anderson's film, <a href="http://www.frontlineclub.com/panorama-preview-screening/?utm_source=Frontline&utm_campaign=bd8dec97a4-Monday+25+Feburary&utm_medium=email"><i>Mission Accomplished? The Secrets of Helmand</i></a>, shows that American combat troops have already
withdrawn, training has been reduced, not accelerated - and the Afghan
Security Forces are not ready to take over. Casualty rates are as high
as ever, they are just all Afghan now, the Taliban are as strong as
ever, locals say their lives have not improved and the police still look
like part of the problem. </span><br />
<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">I will be chairing the discussion following the screening of the film. Also on the panel are Dawood Azami, former BBC World Service Bureau Chief and Editor in Kabul, and Will Pike who served as a British Army Major in Afghanistan, and on the Afghan Desk at the MOD before leaving the Army in late 2007. </span>Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-943149590404503544.post-82193163237643192042013-02-21T16:58:00.001+00:002013-02-21T17:01:13.642+00:00US Army on the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan<span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">The US Army's Foreign Military Studies Office at Ft Leavenworth has published an interesting essay on the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan. Written by Matthew Stein, </span><a href="http://fmso.leavenworth.army.mil/documents/IMU-Goals.pdf" style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;">The Goals of the Islamic Movement of Uzbekistan and Its Impact on Central Asia and the United States</a><span style="font-family: Georgia,"Times New Roman",serif;"> the document looks into "the history, current operations, and goals of the IMU". Conclusions: "The current lack of consistent leadership and subsequent goals has meant that the IMU is difficult to differentiate from other militant or terrorist groups operating in Afghanistan or Pakistan, particularly when the remnants of the IMU rely on others to stay operational. The IMU’s goals are now more dependent on and reflective of these other groups. For the United States, the IMU remains a threat while the country’s forces remain in Afghanistan, although the threat is more from associated groups with better capabilities. For the governments of Central Asia, the IMU remains a threat, but a minor one compared to the capabilities of the group in 1999-2000. Ultimately, the group has become more of a misnomer than a threat to stability."</span><br />
<table align="center" cellpadding="0" cellspacing="0" class="tr-caption-container" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto; text-align: center;"><tbody>
<tr><td style="text-align: center;"><a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg-cvC5BQumKD2WEfzuq1KB8uNoTPXxBy_cxGHLmqAk8dqYFhNQJDc0AZcJrJf7JbBIAy56IKOCRtnzFjjfDD-n3oe8i5lIudIbZC31IJfc8kZ29PhyNCKtpPNjDU3i8BT2FwBKWqljJPM/s1600/Odil.png" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: auto; margin-right: auto;"><img border="0" height="300" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEg-cvC5BQumKD2WEfzuq1KB8uNoTPXxBy_cxGHLmqAk8dqYFhNQJDc0AZcJrJf7JbBIAy56IKOCRtnzFjjfDD-n3oe8i5lIudIbZC31IJfc8kZ29PhyNCKtpPNjDU3i8BT2FwBKWqljJPM/s400/Odil.png" width="400" /></a></td></tr>
<tr><td class="tr-caption" style="text-align: center;"><b style="font-family: Arial,Helvetica,sans-serif;">Pakistan Taliban leader Hakimullah Mahsud with IMU's Usman Odil </b></td></tr>
</tbody></table>
Nick Fieldinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/12403469719425563850noreply@blogger.com0